There is a controversial theory
that for millions of years the Earth was entirely smothered in ice, up
to one kilometre thick. The temperature hovers around -40ºC everywhere,
even in the tropics and the equator. If it did, then virtually nothing
could survive this ferocious climate. There are some tantalising
geological clues that show this theory may be true but the problem is,
the clues and the Snowball Earth theory defy the laws of nature.
For over fifty years a group of scientists has been trying to prove
this incredible period of Earth history. Struggling against scepticism
and disbelief, now finally the many mysteries have been solved and the
scientific community is slowly coming around to the extraordinary idea
not just of the dramatic freeze, but of an equally dramatic thaw.
Scientists across the world are starting to believe that in the past
the Earth froze over completely for ten million years... then warmed up
rapidly about 600 million years ago. Almost all life was wiped out. But
out of the freeze emerged the first complex creatures on Earth.
Scientists now believe that the so-called Snowball Earth theory could
hold the key to the evolution of complex life on this planet.
The discovery of this theory is a classic scientific detective story.
For decades there had been a growing 'X-File' of geological anomalies
haunting the scientific community. Telltale signs of past glaciation
have been found in places that should have been much too hot - very
near the equator. Even during the most severe ice age, scientists
believed that the ice only reached as far down as Northern Europe and
the middle of the USA. So what could these tropical deposits mean?
Back in the 1960s one of the first climate modellers, Mikhail Budyko,
stumbled on an ingenious answer. Through some simple mathematical
formulae, he calculated that if the polar ice caps had spread past a
crucial point, a runaway freezing process would have followed,
eventually freezing over the whole of the planet. The idea fascinated
scientists, but no one thought his runaway glaciation was anything more
than a theoretical result. Surely it had never actually happened on
planet Earth?
The idea foundered because according to the model, once the Earth was
frozen there was no way out - the Earth would remain frozen forever.
The big freeze would wipe out all life; we would not exist today. It
seemed patently absurd. But then came a series of insights and
inspirations from a geologist in California, Joe Kirschvink, who came
up with a brilliant solution - that volcanoes, protruding above the
frozen landscape, would have carried on pumping out carbon dioxide, the
greenhouse gas, even though the world had entered the deep freeze. On
Snowball Earth there was no rain to wash this carbon dioxide out of the
atmosphere. Instead it would have built up to higher and higher
concentrations - until eventually it sparked off not just global
warming but global meltdown.
From the baking landscape of Africa to ice-covered Antarctica, Horizon
follows the tale of a theory which, if true, would have huge
implications. Because scientists now believe this cycle of freezing and
frying may have created the unique conditions needed for the evolution
of complex life, including our own.